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Red58
716621.4
760214.2
664215.0
Blue46
277124.0
780914.7
781013.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53592040801005846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#11
21.40.5
22.422.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.8
End3.0
blue by 2.5
24.00.9
25.724.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.6
End6.2
Second
6642
#38
15.00.5
15.015.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.5
red by 0.4
7809
#30
14.70.9
16.015.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
7602
#26
14.20.5
12.913.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
red by 1.1
7810
#34
13.10.9
14.613.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsMissed