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Red35
655014.7
448219.2
517318.0
Blue75
760214.2
357018.7
233731.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58653040507080903575

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#24
19.21.3
20.519.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.9
blue by 12.7
31.90.7
30.130.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Second
5173
#16
18.01.3
18.216.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.6
blue by 0.7
3570
#20
18.70.7
17.618.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End6.2
Third
6550
#25
14.71.3
15.914.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End2.1
red by 0.6
7602
#26
14.20.7
13.414.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed75%HAB Docking oddsEarned