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Red49
499813.5
496119.4
781013.1
Blue46
77727.8
600221.6
516211.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060804946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#15
19.40.6
21.020.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End3.9
blue by 2.2
6002
#13
21.60.3
21.521.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End7.2
Second
4998
#23
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End4.1
red by 1.7
5162
#37
11.90.3
12.612.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End0.0
Third
7810
#34
13.10.6
13.713.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End2.9
red by 5.3
7772
#31
7.80.3
7.17.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsMissed