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Red69
760214.2
91032.5
696319.6
Blue73
448219.2
295920.9
233731.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68754060801006973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
32.50.3
31.031.3
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End7.7
red by 0.6
31.90.1
30.830.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Second
6963
#10
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End6.1
blue by 1.3
2959
#21
20.90.1
21.221.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Third
7602
#26
14.20.3
14.114.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 5.1
4482
#24
19.20.1
19.219.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsEarned