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Red26
655014.7
664215.0
85816.1
Blue77
780914.7
91032.5
613813.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50552030406070802677

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#19
16.11.4
15.313.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End4.5
blue by 16.4
910
#1
32.51.5
26.127.6
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End7.7
Second
6642
#38
15.01.4
13.712.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.5
red by 0.4
7809
#30
14.71.5
13.815.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
6550
#25
14.71.4
18.717.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End2.1
red by 0.8
6138
#36
13.91.5
11.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned