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Red64
207532.5
496723.9
765814.9
Blue79
335726.4
22629.6
90422.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768440601001206479

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.2
32.832.7
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End8.7
red by 2.9
226
#4
29.60.0
30.030.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.0
End8.1
Second
23.90.2
24.324.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End7.0
blue by 2.5
26.40.0
26.926.8
Auto3.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Third
7658
#22
14.90.2
15.215.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
blue by 7.3
904
#17
22.20.0
22.622.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0