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Red74
54822.7
365524.3
48405.0
Blue52
353619.4
549818.8
652819.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546230405070807452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.5
24.024.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End8.4
red by 4.8
6528
#14
19.50.1
19.819.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
548
#11
22.70.5
22.422.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End4.2
red by 3.3
3536
#15
19.40.1
19.719.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End5.2
Third
4840
#36
5.00.5
4.75.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End1.9
blue by 13.8
5498
#10
18.80.1
19.119.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.7