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Red62
657019.2
509017.3
652819.5
Blue40
714310.1
590116.3
365524.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383820253035455055606240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6528
#14
19.52.4
12.214.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End1.7
blue by 4.8
24.30.6
14.515.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End8.4
Second
6570
#26
19.22.4
12.214.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End6.3
red by 2.9
5901
#23
16.30.6
11.912.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End3.5
Third
5090
#31
17.32.4
13.015.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 7.2
7143
#33
10.10.6
8.48.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed