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Red46
780718.1
171827.9
785610.3
Blue40
354720.1
590116.3
48387.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042363844464640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.9
19.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.1
End3.4
red by 7.8
20.10.0
16.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.3
End7.2
Second
7807
#13
18.10.9
11.112.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End4.7
red by 1.7
5901
#23
16.30.0
12.512.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End3.5
Third
7856
#32
10.30.9
7.48.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 3.2
4838
#40
7.00.0
10.710.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed