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Red35
70314.2
17018.8
456818.4
Blue66
353619.4
780718.1
590116.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060803566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4568
#12
18.40.0
12.812.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 1.0
3536
#15
19.42.2
15.818.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End5.2
Second
703
#28
14.20.0
10.110.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End3.3
blue by 3.9
7807
#13
18.12.2
12.014.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End4.7
Third
1701
#29
8.80.0
12.412.3
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End3.0
blue by 7.5
5901
#23
16.32.2
12.514.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed