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Red22
549818.8
61909.1
77889.5
Blue16
602914.9
519710.6
590116.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393702060801001202216

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#10
18.81.7
13.411.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.7
red by 2.5
5901
#23
16.33.2
12.59.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End3.5
Second
7788
#34
9.54.5
12.98.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 5.4
6029
#22
14.93.2
11.58.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Third
6190
#39
9.11.7
13.311.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 1.5
5197
#37
10.63.2
10.97.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed