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Red47
549818.8
778912.7
70314.2
Blue54
652819.5
77889.5
456818.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35430102030506070804754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#10
18.81.5
13.314.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.7
blue by 0.7
6528
#14
19.51.1
18.619.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
703
#28
14.21.5
10.011.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End3.3
blue by 4.2
4568
#12
18.41.1
12.813.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
7789
#38
12.71.5
10.211.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 3.2
7788
#34
9.51.1
9.510.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed