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Red58
364120.8
438411.9
125021.1
Blue54
778912.7
365524.3
780718.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149303540455560655854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.2
17.618.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End4.4
blue by 3.2
24.30.3
20.220.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End8.4
Second
20.81.2
19.120.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
red by 2.7
7807
#13
18.10.3
15.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End4.7
Third
4384
#18
11.91.2
9.410.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 0.8
7789
#38
12.70.3
12.112.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned