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Red56
509017.3
608117.1
661820.6
Blue67
719616.8
102326.4
549818.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47592040801005667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.1
15.516.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.6
End2.7
blue by 5.8
26.40.8
21.522.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
Second
5090
#31
17.31.1
15.516.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
blue by 1.5
5498
#10
18.80.8
17.818.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.7
Third
6081
#24
17.11.1
13.814.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 0.3
7196
#21
16.80.8
16.417.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned