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Red55
78659.9
456818.4
365524.3
Blue59
585315.0
171827.9
602914.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47492030406070805559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.0
20.521.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End8.4
blue by 3.6
27.91.0
21.422.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.1
End3.4
Second
4568
#12
18.41.0
14.715.7
Auto3.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 3.4
5853
#16
15.01.0
11.312.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Third
7865
#20
9.91.0
9.310.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End4.2
blue by 4.9
6029
#22
14.91.0
13.314.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed