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Red16
48405.0
602914.9
81511.5
Blue42
778912.7
714310.1
125021.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364301020305060701642

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6029
#22
14.91.6
14.212.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End3.5
blue by 6.2
21.10.1
18.718.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End4.4
Second
815
#35
11.51.6
13.111.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End3.4
blue by 1.2
7789
#38
12.70.1
13.213.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
4840
#36
5.01.6
6.44.8
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End1.9
blue by 5.1
7143
#33
10.10.1
8.88.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed