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Red57
590116.3
719616.8
262012.2
Blue22
77889.5
81511.5
17018.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4433102030405060705722

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7196
#21
16.81.1
15.716.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.5
red by 5.3
815
#35
11.50.7
11.811.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Second
5901
#23
16.31.2
15.116.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End3.5
red by 6.9
7788
#34
9.50.8
10.19.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
2620
#19
12.21.1
11.012.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.3
End3.7
red by 3.3
1701
#29
8.80.7
9.58.8
Auto4.0
Teleop1.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed