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Red38
456818.4
778912.7
28012.0
Blue35
48387.0
785610.3
509017.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132152025354045503835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4568
#12
18.41.0
9.210.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 1.1
5090
#31
17.30.6
12.513.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Second
7789
#38
12.71.0
8.19.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 2.4
7856
#32
10.30.6
7.27.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
280
#25
12.01.0
11.812.8
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.5
red by 4.9
4838
#40
7.00.6
10.210.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed