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Red57
592725.6
335727.3
609413.9
Blue83
277120.9
240518.2
400422.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71622040801005783

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
27.527.3
Auto4.9
Teleop18.7
End3.6
red by 4.5
4004
#15
22.80.5
21.822.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.0
Second
25.60.2
25.925.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
red by 4.7
2771
#17
20.90.5
19.920.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End6.1
Third
6094
#14
13.90.2
14.113.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 4.3
2405
#10
18.20.5
17.217.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.0
End3.3