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Red52
22625.6
353913.3
609413.9
Blue60
496717.9
387513.5
516717.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62512040801005260

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#12
25.60.4
27.026.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End7.0
red by 7.7
17.90.8
17.918.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End5.5
Second
6094
#14
13.90.4
15.414.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 3.9
17.80.8
17.518.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End3.1
Third
3539
#20
13.30.4
16.115.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 0.3
3875
#16
13.50.8
12.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned