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Red50
496717.9
90415.8
277120.9
Blue67
276725.0
400422.8
387513.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62692040801005067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#17
20.90.6
22.021.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End6.1
blue by 4.0
25.00.1
28.829.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End8.3
Second
17.90.6
18.718.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End5.5
blue by 4.9
4004
#15
22.80.1
22.422.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.0
Third
904
#11
15.80.6
18.417.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End3.4
red by 2.2
3875
#16
13.50.1
13.613.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
21%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed67%HAB Docking oddsEarned