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Red48
485524.3
718719.1
194016.8
Blue30
60439.7
413018.0
664210.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46401020305060704830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.5
15.716.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End6.6
red by 6.3
18.00.9
14.713.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Second
7187
#12
19.10.5
14.715.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
red by 8.7
6642
#28
10.40.9
11.010.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End3.4
Third
1940
#16
16.80.3
12.813.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.3
red by 7.1
6043
#36
9.70.9
12.611.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsEarned