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Red47
719513.3
519418.8
194016.8
Blue35
515222.4
722111.1
520416.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4347304050604735

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5194
#24
18.80.4
15.215.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.8
blue by 3.7
22.40.6
17.516.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End7.4
Second
1940
#16
16.80.4
13.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 0.1
5204
#30
16.90.6
15.715.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Third
7195
#29
13.30.4
12.613.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 2.2
7221
#31
11.11.0
11.210.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed