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Red34
519418.8
562318.8
60439.7
Blue21
555911.6
516112.0
722111.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4534102030405060703421

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5623
#11
18.81.3
15.213.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.9
red by 6.8
5161
#32
12.01.3
11.510.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End4.6
Second
5194
#24
18.80.8
15.614.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.8
red by 7.2
5559
#26
11.60.8
10.710.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
6043
#36
9.71.3
11.610.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
blue by 1.4
7221
#31
11.11.3
10.18.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed