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Red39
584316.5
722111.1
546216.0
Blue40
413018.0
194016.8
656811.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4447102030406070803940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#17
16.50.3
16.516.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.3
blue by 1.5
18.00.5
17.416.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Second
16.00.2
14.514.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End7.0
blue by 0.8
1940
#16
16.80.3
14.113.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Third
7221
#31
11.10.3
10.310.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.4
blue by 0.5
6568
#13
11.60.3
12.712.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsMissed