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Red33
524817.1
194016.8
664210.4
Blue51
335722.2
518217.2
658812.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444220305060703351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#27
17.10.8
15.514.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.2
blue by 5.1
3357
#20
22.21.3
18.319.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.0
Second
1940
#16
16.80.8
13.512.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 0.4
5182
#21
17.20.8
10.311.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Third
6642
#28
10.41.3
12.311.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End3.4
blue by 2.1
6588
#10
12.60.8
11.011.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed