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Red48
524817.1
722111.1
612015.7
Blue50
718719.1
567520.0
605312.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465310203040607080904850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#27
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.2
blue by 2.9
20.00.5
19.218.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Second
6120
#23
15.70.4
15.716.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.9
blue by 3.4
7187
#12
19.10.5
18.718.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Third
7221
#31
11.10.4
10.711.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.4
blue by 1.1
6053
#38
12.20.4
12.612.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed