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Red43
659211.6
525711.7
436223.0
Blue35
102329.1
55028.4
721910.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45551020304050607080904335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.1
18.318.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End5.6
blue by 6.0
29.11.1
26.425.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End10.3
Second
5257
#26
11.70.1
12.012.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.6
red by 1.4
7219
#35
10.31.1
11.310.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Third
6592
#28
11.60.1
12.012.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 3.2
5502
#31
8.41.9
14.012.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsEarned