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Red49
72219.8
520527.9
421617.7
Blue40
568813.7
55028.4
24716.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5746203040506070804940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.5
26.125.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End7.5
red by 11.1
247
#29
16.80.2
16.015.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End1.8
Second
4216
#21
17.70.9
18.617.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End4.2
red by 4.0
5688
#34
13.70.2
13.513.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Third
7221
#33
9.80.5
9.08.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End3.2
red by 1.5
5502
#31
8.40.4
13.813.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed