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Red25
55028.4
590716.4
440811.0
Blue41
525711.7
750120.0
568510.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403810203050602541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#20
16.41.5
14.012.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 3.6
7501
#24
20.00.3
16.016.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.2
End3.6
Second
4408
#40
11.00.9
10.89.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End3.3
blue by 0.7
5257
#26
11.70.6
11.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.6
Third
5502
#31
8.41.5
13.412.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 1.9
5685
#18
10.30.3
8.38.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed