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Red80
432719.3
562320.2
520527.9
Blue67
750120.0
659121.4
781713.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6150304070808067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.5
26.528.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End7.5
red by 6.5
6591
#13
21.42.2
16.618.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Second
20.21.5
17.118.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End4.8
red by 0.1
7501
#24
20.01.3
16.317.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.2
End3.6
Third
4327
#15
19.31.5
14.415.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.2
red by 5.6
7817
#23
13.71.3
14.315.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsEarned