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Red67
148125.4
71979.1
360425.7
Blue57
567630.4
440811.0
721910.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6149304070806757

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
23.824.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
blue by 4.7
30.40.7
26.026.7
Auto5.4
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Second
25.40.4
23.423.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End7.6
red by 14.4
4408
#40
11.00.7
9.410.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End3.3
Third
7197
#37
9.10.7
10.411.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.1
blue by 1.2
7219
#35
10.30.7
11.312.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed