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Red80
720914.9
360425.7
722219.9
Blue63
765621.3
570411.5
432719.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349203040607080908063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.8
24.226.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
red by 4.4
7656
#10
21.31.1
18.219.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End5.9
Second
7222
#14
19.92.9
15.418.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 0.6
4327
#15
19.31.1
16.417.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Third
7209
#27
14.91.8
10.912.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 3.4
5704
#39
11.51.9
11.713.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed