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Red44
360425.7
721910.3
64259.7
Blue52
432719.3
609213.7
781713.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50442030406070804452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
26.025.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
red by 6.4
4327
#15
19.30.5
17.518.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Second
7219
#35
10.30.2
12.011.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End2.4
blue by 3.4
7817
#23
13.70.5
14.214.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
6425
#36
9.70.2
9.39.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.1
blue by 4.0
6092
#25
13.70.5
10.410.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed