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Red45
64259.7
567630.4
570411.5
Blue61
568510.3
520527.9
148125.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485730406070804561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.0
23.423.4
Auto5.4
Teleop20.5
End4.5
red by 2.5
27.90.5
26.326.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End7.5
Second
5704
#39
11.50.0
10.310.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 13.9
25.40.5
21.021.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End7.6
Third
6425
#36
9.70.0
11.411.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.1
blue by 0.6
5685
#18
10.30.5
6.77.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed88%HAB Docking oddsEarned