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Red15
78579.3
570411.5
55028.4
Blue54
655616.4
72219.8
659121.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3545102030405060701554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5704
#39
11.51.9
13.511.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 9.9
6591
#13
21.40.6
20.420.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Second
7857
#32
9.31.2
10.29.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End2.5
blue by 7.2
6556
#11
16.40.4
13.614.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End5.7
Third
5502
#31
8.41.9
9.57.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 1.5
7221
#33
9.80.4
8.48.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned