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Red81
655616.4
613712.2
432524.6
Blue54
432719.3
721910.3
552314.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534530406070808154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
24.925.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End7.0
red by 5.2
4327
#15
19.30.1
18.018.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Second
6556
#11
16.40.5
14.014.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End5.7
red by 2.1
5523
#38
14.30.1
13.313.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Third
6137
#22
12.20.5
10.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 1.9
7219
#35
10.30.1
11.811.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed