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Red51
659121.4
64259.7
722219.9
Blue40
436223.0
721910.3
24716.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52530204060801001205140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6591
#13
21.40.1
21.021.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End5.1
blue by 1.6
23.00.7
21.821.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End5.6
Second
7222
#14
19.90.1
19.319.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 3.1
247
#29
16.80.7
16.716.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End1.8
Third
6425
#36
9.70.1
9.29.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.1
blue by 0.7
7219
#35
10.30.7
11.811.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed