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Red41
570411.5
781713.7
658023.0
Blue55
613712.2
722219.9
750120.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555130406070804155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6580
#12
23.00.7
24.023.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End7.3
red by 3.0
7501
#24
20.00.4
18.218.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.2
End3.6
Second
7817
#23
13.70.7
14.513.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
blue by 6.2
7222
#14
19.90.5
19.419.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
5704
#39
11.50.9
13.312.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 0.7
6137
#22
12.20.4
10.911.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed