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Red66
659121.4
148125.4
432719.3
Blue52
659211.6
421617.7
78579.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060806652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.3
21.522.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End7.6
red by 7.6
4216
#21
17.70.8
17.818.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End4.2
Second
6591
#13
21.42.2
13.315.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End5.1
red by 9.8
6592
#28
11.60.8
12.112.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Third
4327
#15
19.31.3
11.813.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.2
red by 10.1
7857
#32
9.30.5
9.29.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned