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Red51
562320.2
64259.7
750120.0
Blue68
613712.2
659121.4
30224.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505830407080905168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.2
19.419.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End4.8
blue by 4.5
302
#7
24.70.9
23.324.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.2
End9.2
Second
7501
#24
20.00.2
18.618.8
Auto3.2
Teleop13.2
End3.6
blue by 1.4
6591
#13
21.41.0
20.521.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Third
6425
#36
9.70.2
9.49.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.1
blue by 2.5
6137
#22
12.20.9
11.312.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsEarned