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Red71
49421.4
366729.7
609312.9
Blue43
261917.5
504621.0
523511.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64533040607080907143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.2
28.728.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End11.1
red by 8.7
5046
#12
21.00.2
21.221.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Second
494
#11
21.40.2
20.420.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
red by 3.9
2619
#15
17.50.2
17.717.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
6093
#29
12.90.2
11.912.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End2.4
red by 1.9
5235
#27
11.00.2
11.211.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End2.6