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Red48
515518.3
366729.7
781311.5
Blue41
603314.5
528219.7
516618.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444020305060704841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.7
16.617.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End11.1
red by 10.0
5282
#30
19.70.4
10.911.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Second
18.30.7
15.916.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
blue by 0.3
5166
#18
18.60.4
13.013.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Third
7813
#36
11.50.7
8.99.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.9
blue by 3.0
6033
#13
14.50.4
13.714.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed