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Red59
663111.0
21723.3
522422.9
Blue51
551713.4
31422.5
261917.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4345304050605951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
23.31.0
17.418.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End3.9
red by 0.8
314
#6
22.50.9
13.114.0
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Second
22.91.0
13.714.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End9.2
red by 5.4
2619
#15
17.50.9
15.216.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
6631
#23
11.01.0
9.110.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End3.9
blue by 2.4
5517
#28
13.40.9
14.215.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed