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Red31
663810.9
550916.0
552413.8
Blue57
168426.2
3223.2
522422.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384810203060703157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#26
16.00.5
14.013.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 10.2
26.20.2
20.520.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End8.5
Second
5524
#17
13.80.5
13.212.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
blue by 9.1
22.90.2
14.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End9.2
Third
6638
#33
10.90.5
8.68.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End2.2
red by 7.8
322
#38
3.20.2
10.410.6
Auto1.2
Teleop-0.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed