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Red35
26048.0
353420.9
3223.2
Blue25
566015.1
719213.2
552413.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454020305060703525

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.8
20.119.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
red by 5.8
5660
#24
15.11.4
12.911.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Second
2604
#35
8.00.8
11.210.4
Auto4.5
Teleop1.6
End1.9
blue by 5.8
5524
#17
13.81.4
12.711.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Third
322
#38
3.20.8
10.910.1
Auto1.2
Teleop-0.5
End2.4
blue by 10.0
7192
#21
13.21.4
12.010.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed