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Red38
781713.0
49421.4
663111.0
Blue31
504621.0
552413.8
496121.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445430405060703831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#11
21.40.7
20.619.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
red by 0.4
5046
#12
21.02.1
20.218.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Second
7817
#22
13.00.7
12.011.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 8.0
4961
#14
21.02.1
19.617.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Third
6631
#23
11.00.7
8.98.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End3.9
blue by 2.8
5524
#17
13.82.2
11.39.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed