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Red39
603314.5
609312.9
261917.5
Blue53
551713.4
49421.4
719213.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4146305060703953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#15
17.50.0
17.717.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 3.9
494
#11
21.40.6
19.920.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
Second
6033
#13
14.50.0
11.011.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End3.7
red by 1.1
5517
#28
13.40.6
11.512.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
6093
#29
12.90.0
10.610.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 0.3
7192
#21
13.20.6
11.912.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed