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Red69
168426.2
781713.0
504621.0
Blue64
522422.9
608514.3
528219.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5553204060801006964

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.6
22.724.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End8.5
red by 3.3
22.91.0
20.621.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End9.2
Second
5046
#12
21.01.6
18.119.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 1.3
5282
#30
19.71.1
17.518.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Third
7817
#22
13.01.6
11.313.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 1.3
6085
#25
14.31.0
12.413.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsEarned