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Red31
516618.6
56628.0
663810.9
Blue24
781311.5
26048.0
719213.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413410203050603124

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
18.60.7
20.319.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
red by 5.4
7192
#21
13.20.7
12.511.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Second
6638
#33
10.90.7
11.510.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End2.2
blue by 0.6
7813
#36
11.50.7
11.010.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.9
Third
5662
#37
8.00.8
7.06.3
Auto4.5
Teleop0.9
End2.7
red by 0.1
2604
#35
8.00.7
8.47.7
Auto4.5
Teleop1.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed